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What is Yemen Part in New Tone of Saudi Crown Prince on Iran?

No one who followed the current events in the region, including clashes, conflicts and disagreements between Saudi Arabia and Iran, was expecting the positive attitudes issued by Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman about Iran, not because this transformation was impossible. In politics, there is nothing constant, and the positions of the litigants, no matter how extremist or hostile they are against each other, change according to changing data or situations.

Changing Iran from being leader of the axis of evil and destructive actions in the region, as bin Salman considers, sponsor of terrorism, which must be fought from inside, and must suffer the heaviest sanctions that deprive its people of most of their rights and needs, even humanity and health, to be neighboring country with which Saudi Arabia must have excellent relations with, prompts us to research developments affecting the relationship between the two parties.

First of all, the Saudi crown prince is maneuvering as usual, and through this “deceptive” position, may try to absorb the shock of the “approaching” of the sponsoring countries of the nuclear agreement with Iran to reach an acceptable deal, especially the US. This approach will revive the articles and obligations of all parties, the result of which will be the abolition of sanctions on Iran, and the lifting of the economic and political embargo on it, so that it will become a fundamental and active party in the regional and international policy system, which Saudi Arabia cannot oppose or hinder. Therefore, through this “deviant” position, the Saudi crown prince hastened to anticipate matters in order to avoid diplomatic and political embarrassment at the regional and international levels.

Based on the words of Prince Muhammad bin Salman in his aforementioned statement, regarding the relationship with Iran, several basic points can be concluded that define or affect the relationship between the two parties, namely:

Iran’s position and influence in the region, specifically its relationship with several countries and actors in Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Lebanon, and its military and strategic capabilities, which Saudi Arabia has always opposed.

In addition to the Iranian influence in the region – mentioned above – the Iranian nuclear project or Iran’s nuclear capabilities and missile capabilities are other reasons. These two points are practically considered one of the most influential points in the Israeli enemy, a matter that the young prince indicated to the need to find a radical solution to it before correcting the relationship with Iran, as if in that he is speaking in the name of the Zionist entity or placing the dispelling of Israel’s concerns at the basis of correcting the Saudi-Iranian relationship.

Especially since everyone knows, especially those who are serious observers of Iranian influence and capabilities, nuclear or missile, that the latter, in practice, only targets “Israel”, because it is a historical enemy usurping the land and sanctities. Apart from that, Iran is not interested in using these capabilities to target any regional, Arab or Gulf party at all.

Therefore, while practically no change has occurred in the points related to Iranian influence or nuclear or missile capabilities, so that they may be a factor affecting the change in the Saudi Crown Prince’s view and stance on Iran, what remains is only the position on the war on Yemen, which is supposed to be behind this switch.

After 6 years of the war on Yemen, which was supposed to end with the achievement of Saudi Arabia’s goals within a few weeks as a maximum, the issue was no longer a defense issue for the Yemeni interior only, but the confrontation developed into beyond the Yemeni border to the north, the strategic depth of the Kingdom and its national security are seriously threatened.

Thanks to the steadfastness of the Yemenis people, Army, the Committees and their development of qualitative capabilities, Saudi Arabia, despite all Western support, has failed to protect its depth, and seemed unable to contain and absorb effective Yemeni strikes for most of its vital military or economic sites.

Hence, Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s initiative to woo Iran undoubtedly related to a relentless attempt to help on the war on Yemen and eliminate its negative effects inside Saudi Arabia, so that Iran, from its close and influential position with the people of Yemen, will contribute to finding the appropriate or reasonable exit to Saudi Arabia from the swamp of Yemen.

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